Jobs you expect to sign
Open estimates × the share you expect to sign. One rate across the whole pipeline.
Every estimate sitting on a kitchen table is money you might sign. Weight it honestly and see what your pipeline is really carrying.
By the BlueSmith team · Updated
Expected revenue from open estimates: $187,500
25 open estimates at $30,000, 25% expected to sign, about 21 days to decide.
See what we’d build for these numbersStarts with example numbers. Change them to yours. Arithmetic only, not a promise of results.
Count your open estimates: sent, not signed, not turned down.
Add their average value, the share you expect to sign, and the average days to signature.
Use the expected revenue as a planning range, not as money already booked.
Open estimates × the share you expect to sign. One rate across the whole pipeline.
Expected jobs × average value of an open estimate.
Expected revenue × (30 ÷ average days to signature). It assumes the pipeline refills to the same size as estimates sign or drop out.
20 open estimates at $20,000, 30% expected to sign: 6 jobs and $120,000. At 45 days to decide, 30 ÷ 45 turns that into about $80,000 a month.
Your own. Of the estimates you sent over the last few months, how many signed? If older estimates rarely close for you, run fresh and stale ones separately with their own rates.
As a range, yes. As booked revenue, no. It’s arithmetic on your inputs, and nothing counts until the contract is signed.
Ones you’ve sent that haven’t been signed or turned down. If a homeowner told you no, or went silent long ago and you’ve stopped following up, take them out.
Follow up on every open estimate on a schedule until you get a yes or a no. Each estimate that would have gone quiet and signs instead raises your sign rate.
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